Astrology

The Great Conjunction of Saturn and Jupiter

Get ready to witness the glorious conjunction this Monday evening, Dec 21.

MONDAY evening, December 21st is a special time for those who gaze upwards.  If you look towards the south western sky soon after sunset, you will see an unusually bright light close to the horizon.  The bright light is actually coming from two planets which are so close together that to the naked eye they appear to be almost a single object.  Welcome to the conjunction of Saturn and Jupiter.  For many centuries this event was an omen of terrible things to come, and occupied the attention of several medieval Jewish scholars, perhaps most notably Abraham Ibn Ezra.

The patterns of the great conjunctions of Saturn and Jupiter.  Three consecutive conjunctions move across the sky and fall in a pattern that is nearly (but not quite) the vertices of an equilateral triangle. This idealized illustration is by the gre…

The patterns of the great conjunctions of Saturn and Jupiter. Three consecutive conjunctions move across the sky and fall in a pattern that is nearly (but not quite) the vertices of an equilateral triangle. This idealized illustration is by the great astronomer Johannes Kepler, Mysterium Cosmographicum 1597. p9. The 2020 conjunction would be at position 23, the first in the sign of Aquarius. The next conjunction will be at position 24, in the sign of Libra.

What exactly is a conjunction?

A conjunction triangle (trigon) for Saturn-Jupiter conjunction (top) and a partial conjunction sequence across the zodiac (bottom). From Etz, Donald V. "Conjunctions of Jupiter and Saturn." Journal of the Royal Astronomical Society of Canada 94 (200…

A conjunction triangle (trigon) for Saturn-Jupiter conjunction (top) and a partial conjunction sequence across the zodiac (bottom). From Etz, Donald V. "Conjunctions of Jupiter and Saturn." Journal of the Royal Astronomical Society of Canada 94 (2000): 174-78.

A conjunction occurs when two or more bodies in the sky appear very close to each other. Saturn and Jupiter are the two outermost planets in our solar system that are visible to the naked eye. They usually appear far apart from each another as they wander across the night sky. Saturn appears to orbit the earth once every thirty years or so; Jupiter orbits every twelve years. As they do so, faster moving Jupiter catches up with Saturn every twenty years, much as a faster runner overtakes a slower one as they race around a track. That’s a conjunction. The stary background against which these conjunctions appear changes over longer periods of time. The conjunctions move through the twelve signs of the zodiac, each occurring 240 degrees removed from the previous one. If the first occurs in Aires, the next will occurs in Sagittarius which is 240 degrees away, and the next in Leo. These conjunctions form a rough triangle inside a zodiacal circle, and the three signs so related are known as a trigon, as shown in the diagram. In relation to the fixed stars, it takes some 900 years for a conjunction to appear near to the starting point of the sequence. [1]   

View of the solar system 16 Astronomical Units from Jupiter. . See how when viewed from the earth, Jupiter appears to cover Saturn which is some 400 million miles away. From SkySafari v. 4.4

View of the solar system 16 Astronomical Units from Jupiter. . See how when viewed from the earth, Jupiter appears to cover Saturn which is some 400 million miles away. From SkySafari v. 4.4

Over the last few months Saturn and Jupiter have appeared closer and closer together. While in reality they are 400 million miles apart, from here on earth Jupiter will appear to cover Saturn. They haven’t looked this close since 1623, and won’t appear this close again until 2080. So don’t miss it. Afterwards, they will begin to appear as separate objects, and move father and father apart.

How to spot the conjunction

Looking southwest from the eastern United States at 5.20pm on Monday Dec 21. This is what you can see if there are no clouds.  Note how Aquarius is in the background. That is what is meant by the conjunction “being in” Aquarius.

Looking southwest from the eastern United States at 5.20pm on Monday Dec 21. This is what you can see if there are no clouds. Note how Aquarius is in the background. That is what is meant by the conjunction “being in” Aquarius.

Exactly when the conjunction is best seen depends on where you live. It will be visible for only a couple of hours after sunset. On the east coast of the US, it will be visible from dusk until 7.07pm. In London, England the sun sets at 3.54pm. Dusk begins around 4.35 and you will have until 5.50pm before the two planets set.  In Jerusalem dusk begins around 5.10pm, and you will have until 6.35pm.

What happens if it is cloudy?

Come back the next night.  Unlike a solar eclipse, the conjunction is a slowly moving event. If it is cloudy one night – even if that night is Dec 21st, just come back the next night and take a look. The two planets will have moved apart a little, but only a little. It is still worth a look. No special equipment is needed. Oh, and one more thing. It is just luck that this conjunction occurs on the shortest day of the year, known as the winter solstice. The two are not otherwise connected.

 The Conjunction as an Omen

Conjunctions of Saturn and Jupiter occur every twenty years or so and for humankind the vision of the two planets united as one was a harbinger of plague, war, famine and pestilence, an omen of terrible things to come. Or not.  

Although there are several lengthy discussions in the Talmud about the influence of the planets on the fate of humanity, none makes any mention of conjunctions.  But writing about three hundred years after the close of the Talmud, Saadia Gaon (d. 942C.E.) mentioned the belief of the terrible consequences of the Saturn-Jupiter conjunction in his introduction to the Book of Daniel.[2] He explained a belief that the twenty-year conjunction of the planets allowed for predictions to be made about individual kings. The conjunctions that occurred every 238 or 258 years could be used to make predictions about families, and those that occurred in a cycle of 944 or 964 years “influenced the governance from one nation to another.”[3] However, he did so only to reject the notion that these conjunctions or indeed any planetary alignments were of consequence. They were nonsense, as fanciful as other means of divination like the “observation of the organs of animals, such as the liver and the shoulder blade, of eggs and the like.” 

Indeed, things have come so far as the claim that the nations in their countries and the people of every kingdom they rule—their fate is determined by the judgments of the stars. They have relied in all this on the conjunction of the two superior planets, I mean Saturn and Jupiter. For they find that both of these planets are in conjunction once in a period of approximately twenty years… However, the Lord, may He be exalted and magnified, has made it known in His books that none of the wise men know anything about the duration of the kingdoms and their ends…[4]

 Saadia’s rejection of astrology was shared by Maimonides in his Iggeret Teiman, an epistle about many aspects of faith written to the Jews of Yemen around 1173. 

I note that you are inclined to believe in astrology and in the influence of the past and future conjunctions of the planets upon human affairs. You should dismiss such notions from your thoughts. Cleanse your mind as one cleanses dirty clothes. Accomplished scholars whether they are religious or not, refuse to believe in the truth of this science…

 For while the Gentiles believe that our nation will never constitute an independent state, nor will they even rise above their present condition, and all the astrologers, diviners, and augurs concur in this opinion, God will prove false their views and beliefs, and will order the advent of the Messiah…This is the correct view that every Israelite should hold, without paying any attention to the conjunctions of the stars,…[5]

The Conjunction in the writings of Ibn Ezra

Perhaps unaware of these objections to astrology, or perhaps in spite of them, several later rabbinic scholars wrote about the astrological consequences of planetary conjunctions in general, and of the Saturn-Jupiter conjunction in particular.  The most famous of these was the biblical commentator, grammarian, poet and astronomer Abraham Ibn Ezra (d.1167), who, “by incorporating astrological ideas into his influential biblical exegesis…promoted the smooth absorption of astrological content into the hard core of Jewish culture.”[6]

Among the fourteen books he wrote on astronomy was Sefer haMachbarot (The Book of Conjunctions), in which the influence of the conjunction of the two planets was discussed in great detail.[7]  Ibn Ezra believed that the sun and planets, together with the constellations across which they appeared to travel through the night sky influenced the fates of nations, cities and religions.  Jupiter in Aires held sway over Iraq, Saturn in Libra over Rome. The sun held sway over Christians, Saturn over the Jews, and Venus over the Moslems.[8] Like all of his contemporaries, Ibn Ezra’s astrology paid additional attention to conjunctions, of which the most important was that of Saturn and Jupiter.  These conjunctions had influenced the births of prophets and leaders, including Moses, Jesus and Mohammed.[9]

 רק דבר מנוסה היא שאריה ושמש לאדום, ובו הייתה המחברת טרם שיולד האיש שחושבים שהו אלוה...והמחברת ההוא תרם קום נביא הישמעאלים לפי דברם היתה במזל עקרב

 “The conjunction [of Saturn and Jupiter] took place before the birth of the man they consider to be God…and the conjunction [of Saturn and Jupiter] in the sign of Scorpio took place before the emergence of the prophet of the Moslems.”

 Ibn Ezra did not just emphasize the importance of the conjunction in his many esoteric works of astrology. He included it his commentary on the Torah, in a long passage found on Exodus 33:21, printed in any edition of the Mikraot Gedolot.

ודע כי כל הצמחים והחיים בארץ והעוף והבהמה והחיה והרמש וכל אדם קשורים בעליונים. כי הכללים קשורים בארבעים ושמונה צורות הגלגל...

והנה המחברת השניים העליונים במזל טלה היא בכל תשע מאות וששים שנה. ושניהם סובבים ממזל התחברותם אל מזל תשיעי בכל עשרים שנה. ככה יתגלגלו שתים עשרה פעמים עד מאתים וארבעים שנה. ומשם יתגלגלו כמספר הזה ובדרך הזה במזלות העפר. גם במזלות הרוח. גם במזלות המים

ובעבור זה אמר ה' אחר אשר חלק. ואתכם לקח ה' להיות לו לעם נחלה. ככה לא כאלה חלק יעקב כי יוצר הכל הוא. וזהו ונפלינו אני ועמך. וזהו שאמרו חכמינו ז''ל אין מזל לישראל כל זמן שהם שומרי התורה. ואם לא ישמרוה ישלוט בהם המזל כאשר הוא מנוסה. כי כל מחברת ומזל דלי במערכת רעה. הנה יבא רעה לשונאי ישראל. והיודעים חכמת המזלות יודו כן. והנה היתה במערכת השמים במחברת שיעמדו בגלות מצרים עוד שנים רבות. ובעבור שצעקו אל השם ושבו אליו הושיעם השם. וכאשר יקרה לכלל כן יקרה ליחיד על כן שומר תורה אשרהו

Know that all plants and everything that lives on earth, all birds, domesticated and wild quadrupeds, and other animals, and all human beings, depend on the celestial bodies, because the species depend on the forty-eight constellations of the orb

 … The conjunction of the two uppermost planets [i.e., Saturn and Jupiter] in the sign of Aries takes place every 960 years, and both revolve from the sign of their conjunction to the ninth [following] sign every 20 years, and they repeat this cycle twelve times to make up two hundred and forty years. From there they repeat this cycle the same number of times and in the same manner in the earthy signs, in the airy signs, and in the watery signs….

It is because of this that [Scripture] states, “which the Lord thy God has allotted” (Deut. 4:19); “But you hath the Lord taken ... to be unto Him a people of inheritance, as ye are this day” (Deut. 4:20); “The portion of Jacob is not like these, for he is the former of all things” (Jer. 51:19). This is the meaning of “so that we are distinguished, I and Thy people” (Ex. 33:16).  This is what the Sages mean by “there is no mazzal for Israel” (B. Shabbat 156a)—as long as they observe the Torah…

But if they do not observe the Torah, then the zodiacal sign rules over them, as has been proven by experience, for any conjunction [of Saturn and Jupiter that takes place] when Aquarius is in an evil configuration results in harm to Israel. Those versed in astrology admit that a conjunction took place in a configuration which meant that they would remain in exile in Egypt for many more years, but because they cried out to God and returned to Him, He saved them.[10]

 From Ibn Ezra we also know that Solomon Ibn Gabriol (d.1058) and Avraham bar Hiyyah (d. ~1140) believed that it was possible to link the conjunctions of Saturn and Jupiter to a calculation of the arrival of the Messiah. Ibn Ezra was critical of these eschatological attempts, but not of the significance of the conjunctions and their important role in astrological computations.[11]

 The provenance of Ibn Ezra’s astrology was of course Jewish in so far as he cited many Talmudic passages that discussed the influence of the stars and planets.  But it contained much more from non-Jewish works of astrology. His work was “an accumulation of sources and doctrines that go back to the very beginnings of the astrological literature.” [12] This includes ancient Egyptian and Babylonian sources, as well as later Hellenistic works by Ptolemy. In fact, Ptolemy was “Ibn Ezra’s most important astrological and scientific source, to whom he refers in his entire work more frequently than to any other scientist or astrologer.”[13]  He also mentions several Islamic scholars on whom he based his work, of which the most prominent was Abu Ma’shar Ghafar Ibn Muhammad Ibn Umar al-Balkhi (787-886). Ibn Ezra’s astrology had an influential role in the spread of Abu’Ma’shar’s ideas into the west. In the thirteenth century his Sefer Olam was translated first into French and from there into Latin. Much of it was incorporated into the fourteenth century supercommentary on Ibn Ezra by Joseph ben Eliezer Bonfils known as Zafnet Paneach.

The Conjunction in the writings of Avraham bar Hiyyah

Avraham bar Hiyyah (c.1070~1145) was an extremely influential Catalonian mathematician and astrologer. He wrote two famous works on astronomy, Tzurat Ha’aretz and Heshbon Mahalakh HaKochavim and in a lesser known work of astrology called Megillat HaMegalleh he detailed how the conjunction of Saturn and Jupiter explained the course of Jewish history.[14]  Moses was born under the influence of a conjunction, he fled Egypt during one, and stayed in Midian until there was a conjunction of Saturn and Jupiter in the constellation of Scorpio.[15]  With the next conjunction it became time to punish the kingdom of the wicked Pharaoh.

ובעלי האומנית הזאת סבורים שבדבוק הרביעי הזה ברח משה מלפני פרעה אל ארץ מדין ועמד שם עד הדבוק החמישי כשנתחבו שניהם במזל עקרב. ואין אנו יכולים לבטל את דבריהם ולא לקיימם מפני שאין אנו מוצאים ברברי רבותינו ז״ל מספר הימים אשד עמד

... והדבוק הניע אל מזל עקרב אחר הדבוק הזה בשנת י״ב מן המחזור קכ״ט שנת אלפים תמ״ד לעולם. ומזל עקרב הוא בית מלכות הרשע והוא מן המזלות השולטות על מצרים לדברי אנשי החכמה הזאת. ובדבוק הזה הגיע זמן מלכות פרעה הרשע להשמד ולהחרב.

Those who subscribe to this system believe that during the fourth conjunction [of Saturn and Jupiter] Moses fled to Midian from Pharaoh Midian until the fifth conjunction of Saturn and Jupiter in the constellation of Scorpio. We cannot be sure about this calculation because we do not have anything from the rabbis [of the Talmud] about the length of time this took.

After that conjunction, then next one moved towards the constellation of Scorpio in the 12th year of the 129th cycle, in the Year 1,444 of creation. Scorpio is one of the constellations that rules over Egypt, according to the astrologers.  During this conjunction the time arrived to destroy and desolate the kingdom of the wicked Pharaoh...

 The conjunctions continued to influence both general and Jewish history, with a rule that whenever they occurred with Pisces a calamity of some sort would befall the Jewish people.[16]

ואתה רואה בכל עת אשר היה הדבוק נופל במזל דגים שהוא מזל הדבוק הראשון היה מתחדש על ישראל מאורע קשה

 With copious calendrical precision bar Hiyyah details the fall of the kingdoms of Judea and Israel and the association with the conjunctions. In contrast he notes that the birth of Jesus was not heralded by a conjunction, because “he was belittled and despised by his people, and he never reached greatness in this world.”[17]

 ואמרו שבשנת ג׳ אלפים תשצ״ג“ לעולם שהיא שנה אחת לפני הדבוק הזה נתלה ישו בן פנדירא שחיק עצמות ולשנה אחריו יצאו תלמידיו הפריצים הרעים להטעות את העולם. ואין אתה מוצא בדבוק הזה ולא בדבוק אשר לפניו אות ללידת ישו התלוי הזה מפני שהיה שפל ומאוס בעיני עמו ולא היתה לו גדולה בעולם כל ימי חייו אבלי אלו הרשעים תלמידיו החיו אח זכרו אחרי מותו… וכן לא היה כח לאנשים הרשעים האלו ולא עלה להם זכר כל ימי הטריגון הזה  

In the year 3793 of creation, which was one year before [a] conjunction, Jesus (ben Pandariah), may his bones rot, was crucified. The following year his wicked disciples spread their attempt to trip the world into error.  The birth of Jesus the crucified was not heralded by a conjunction because he was belittled and despised by his people, and he never reached greatness in this world in his life. However his wicked disciples continued his memory after his death…But these wicked people had no influence and so they were not foretold in the prior conjunction..

 One of the impossibly frustrating features of astrology is the way in which different astrologers interpret astronomical events. The birth of Jesus is a perfect example. According to Ibn Ezra it was foreshadowed by a Saturn-Jupiter conjunction. But in the schema of Avraham bar Hiyyah it was an unimportant event and as such it was not heralded by a conjunction. Not only did the two disagree about the historical significance of the founder of Christianity. They also disagreed about when the Saturn-Jupiter conjunctions even fell.

The Prognostication of 1166

In 1166 there was to be another conjunction of Saturn and Jupiter, and astrologers of many faiths composed horoscopes of sorts, known as prognostications. One of these, written in Hebrew, used to be attributed to Ibn Ezra, since it is found in an Oxford manuscript after his Sefer Hame’orot. However, based on a philological analysis, it is unlikely to have been written by him, and cannot have been written by Avraham bar Hiyyah since he had died long before the prognostication was composed. Its anonymous author remains unidentified, though was most likely a Jew living in Aragon.[18]  The prognostication demonstrates the seriousness with which a Saturn-Jupiter conjunction was taken. Here are some excerpts: 

The following prognostication was made in [4]914 [1153-54 C.E.] concerning a [forthcoming] prognostication [to occur on Sunday July 31, 1166]…the conjunction will take place in Capricorn…Since the conjunction will be retrograde, it will be very strong and powerful…

This [conjunction] indicates a consolidation of the affairs of kings who have inherited their kingdom from their fathers... [By way of contrast] every conspirator and traitor not of royal seed will be weak and abased.  This is a major indication concerning the Christian kingdom; their regency will be strengthened, whereas the strength of the conspirators of al-Masmud [19] will dimmish, their kingdom will fall and perish, and their alliance will be scattered…

There is hope for our nation in these years of the conjunction, with the help of God, kings will honor them, elevate them, make them great, and join with them…

The sun will enter the beginning of Aires in the middle of the ninth hour of Wednesday the 20th day of Jumada I according to the reckoning of the Moslems…or in the evening of March 23…All this indicates the success of the king of Aragon in that year and the increase of his greatness…in the first years of the conjunction crops will increase. But in the fourth year there will be death and great famine in the lands of Qedar…

The people [of Israel] will move from their place to other land…many warriors will rest from war…. Wonder will be seen in the East, and in the Land of Israel new things will happen, as also in other land. The summer will be made temperate, and the heat of the sun will be milder…Blessed be God who knows future events, for there is none like him. Blessed be the name of His glorious kingdom for ever and ever.  Amen.

וברוך האל היודע העתידות כי אין זולתו. ברוך שם כבוד מלכותו לעולם ועד

The Conjunction in the writings of Lev ben Gershon

Levi ben Gershon (1288-1344) was a French polymath who mostly referred to astrology is his main work, Milchamot Adonai. In addition there is a single manuscript held at the University of Cambridge which contains Levi’s prognostication for the conjunction of Saturn and Jupiter that occurred on March 14th, 1345 (10 Nisan 5105).[20] Avraham bar Hiyyah had noted this conjunction in his Megillat ha-Megalleh, and had considered it in his messianic calculations, which were based on a date derived from the Book of Daniel. Levi ben Gershon predicted unrest and turmoil for the next decade that would come to a head in 1355. But he never lived to test the accuracy of his prognostication, for he died in April 1344.

Now I say that it is known by experience that a conjunction (machberet) of Saturn with Jupiter signifies great and general events. When it takes place in [one of] the airy [zodiacal] signs, its impact is of great strength. When it takes place in a fixed (omed) sign, its impact will last for many days. This is the case for the conjunction to take place on 28 March [13]45…

According to [the planetary] configuration it indicates the destruction of a nation and a kingdom by a nation of a different religion. This will begin to happen in the tenth year[after]the aforementioned conjunction according to this configuration because this conjunction will take place in the third house that signifies religions…According to what is manifest in [the planetary] configuration the evil for these countries will begin from the north. Since Saturn and then Mars will dominate this conjunction, this indicates extraordinary evil with many wars, visions, and miraculous signs…Since the conjunction is strong and Mars is eastern and also will dominate the ascendant, it indicates the spilling of much blood and increasing enmity, jealousy, hatred, strife, famine, various diseases, drought, and dearth….

On account of Saturn it indicates much disease, senseless enmity, strife, destruction of places, collapse, and the sinking of ships in some seas. The conjunction with Mars indicates burning heat in some latitudes, many dry exhalations, comets and for most of the inhabited[world], wars, calamities, death by the sword, killing, and destruction… 

Up to here [is all that] he revealed and added nothing more, for he [Levi] was beckoned to the Upper Academy, may his soul be bound up in the bond of [everlasting] life.

 Levi’s prognostication carried considerable weight and was translated into Latin at the request of Pope Clement VI. In hindsight it was applied to the terrible European outbreak of bubonic plague that began only three years later, and as a result additional attention was paid to Levi’s forecast.[21] The French astrologer Johannes de Muris (c.1320-1350) also prognosticated for the Pope and was certainly aware of Levi’s predictions. “It appears” he wrote, “that the Jews will expect the Messiah before a conjunction of Saturn and Jupiter recurs, which will be within ten years, rather than at another time.” [22]

The Conjunction in Western Thought

The ominous conjunction of Saturn and Jupiter continued to be a cause for alarm in the west during the early modern period. In 1583 a conjunction was to occur that ended the watery trigon of Cancer, Scorpio and Pisces, and would begin the fiery trigon of Aires, Leo, and Sagittarius. These rare circumstances, not having occurred in more than 1,500 years, were dire. Astrologers predicted upheavals and the end of the world. The English Franciscan philosopher Rodger Bacon, (d. c.1292) had predicted that the conjunction of 1583 would be catastrophic:

Screen Shot 2020-12-16 at 2.57.50 PM.png

When the conjunction has changed from this triplicity to another one, as from the end of Cancer to the beginning of Aries, it is then said to be the greatest one, through the revolution of Saturn thirty-two times, and happens every nine hundred and sixty years, and has reference to changes in empires and kingdoms, to impressions of fire in the air, to flood, earthquake, and dearness in the price of food.[23]

Contemporary astrologers of the time updated Bacon’s prognostication and predicted a terrible future. The English astrologer Richard Harvey wrote a grim book titled Astrological Discourse upon the great and notable Conjunction of the two superiour Planets, SATURNE & IUPITER, which shall happen the 28 day of April, 1583. He predicted “eyther a finall dissolution, or a wonderfull horrible alteration of the worlde.” There would be cold weather, floods, hatred, violent oppression, “waterie and fierie calamities” and the world would be spared only due to the second coming of the savior.[24] Another astrologer, Robert Tanner was certain that the conjunction meant that “the latter dayes of the worlds destruction to be neere at hande, & that the comming of our Lord & Saviour Jesus Christ to judgement, will not bee long.”[25] But when none of these calamities occurred these prognostications were used by those who opposed the astrology and its foundations.

Today, echoes of the belief that misfortune may follow a conjunction remain. The name of the winter viral disease influenza comes from the Latin influentia, meaning influence, for it was believed to be caused by astral alignments, among which was the conjunction of Saturn and Jupiter. Contemporary professional astrologers remain concerned, though they couch their prognostications in modern language. “Not only will Jupiter and Saturn be uniting in Aquarius, they will also be forming a catalytic square aspect with Uranus in Taurus. At this pivotal moment in our journey, the lightning bolts of Jupiter and Uranus will not only bring down old societal structures but will also impel us to release old personal dreams and drama we have been attached to. There will be new challenges and unknown potential arising as we begin a new era of Jupiter and Saturn that we will need to make space for in our lives.”[4]  Whatever that means.

 The spectacular 2020 conjunction of Saturn and Jupiter takes place following a year of world-wide pandemic misery but will occur within a few days of the start of vaccinations. The ominous celestial omen has become a harbinger of good news. 


For the much shorter version on Tradition Online, click here. For a PDF version of the essay click here.

Notes

[1] Donald V. Etz, "Conjunctions of Jupiter and Saturn," Journal of the Royal Astronomical Society of Canada 94 (2000).

[2] The work is only known is manuscript form from the Cairo Genizah, with sections held in libraries in the Antonin Collection at the Russian National Library and Cambridge University. The reconstructed text was published in a 2004 paper in Aleph.  See Haggai Ben-Shammai, "Saadia’s Introduction to Daniel: Prophetic Calculation of the End of Days Vs Astrological and Magical Speculation," Aleph 4 (2004).

[3] Ibid. 70-72.

[4]   “The polemical nature of Saadia’s writing here is unmistakable. As a point of departure for understanding the argument, we may assume that it was directed against Jewish proponents of astrology, especially as they related to the book of Daniel and the prediction of a timetable for the ultimate Redemption.” Ibid.

[5] Available at https://www.sefaria.org/Iggerot_HaRambam%2C_Iggeret_Teiman.12?lang=bi&with=all&lang2=en.

[6] Shlomo Sela, ed. Abraham Ibn Ezra: The Book of the World. A Parallel Hebrew-English Critical Edition of the Two Versions of the Text., 2 vols., vol. 2. Abraham Ibn Ezra’s Astrological Writings (Leiden: Brill, 2010). 1.

[7] The work was titled both Sefer HaMachbarot and Sefer Haolam, though Ibn Ezra subsequently used only used the second of these titles. There are three manuscript versions of the work, two of which are held at the Vatican Library. One of these was published in 1937 by J.L. Fleischer using the Vatican MS Ebr. 390, and is available here. For a review of the scientific writings of Ibn Ezra see "Abraham Ibn Ezra’s Scientific Corpus Basic Constituents and General Characterization," Arabic Sciences and Philosophy 11 (2001).

[8] Yehudah Leib Fleischer, Sefer Haolam (Berehovo: Haladas, 1937). 14, 19.

[9] Sela, Abraham Ibn Ezra: The Book of the World. 164-165.

[10] Ibid. 272-279. As Sela notes, there are textual variants in the Mikraot Gedolot, and his translation, which is used here, is based on a collation of fifteenth-century manuscripts.

[11] Ibid. 9.

[12] Ibid.11.

[13] Ibid. 14.

[14] "Abraham Bar Ḥiyya's Astrological Work and Thought," Jewish Studies Quarterly 13, no. 2 (2006). The work is available here.

[15] J. Guttman, Sefer Megillat Ha-Megalleh Von Abraham Bar Chija (Berlin: A. Poznanski, 1924).122.

[16] Ibid.126.

[17] Ibid. 136.

[18] Bernard R. Goldstein, "A Prognostication Based on the Conjunction of Saturn and Jupiter in 1166 [561 Ah]," in Studies in the History of the Exact Sciences in Homor of David Pingree, ed. C. Burnett (Leiden: Brill, 2004).

[19] Goldstein identifies the term as referring to one of the principal Berber ethnic groups in North Africa. See ibid. 748.

[20] MS Cambridge, heb., Add. 1563,folios 104b:20-106a:8. For a detailed description and translation see Bernard R. Goldstein and David Pingree, Levi Ben Gerson's Prognostication for the Conjunction of 1345 (American Philosophical Society, 1990).

[21] Cedric Cohen Skalli and Oded Horezky, "A Fifteenth-Century Reader of Gersonides: Don Isaac Abravanel, Providence, Astral Influences, Active Intellect, and Humanism," in Gersonides’ Afterlife: Studies on the Reception of Levi Ben Gerson’s Philosophical, Halakhic and Scientific Oeuvre in the 14th through 20th Centuries, ed. Ofer Elior, Gad Freudenthal, and David Wirmer (Leiden: Brill, 2020). 201.

[22] Goldstein and Pingree, Levi Ben Gerson's Prognostication. 37. Another Jew, Violas de Rodez  wrote  a detailed political prognostication in Hebrew for the year 1355. However, since this was not based specifically on a conjunction of Saturn and Jupiter, we will not consider further. For details see Hagar Kahana-Smilansky, "Violas De Rodez’ Political Prognostication for the Year 1355: Reaction to the Prognostications for 1345–1355?," in Gersonides’ Afterlife: Studies on the Reception of Levi Ben Gerson’s Philosophical, Halakhic and Scientific Oeuvre in the 14th through 20th Centuries, ed. Ofer Elior, Gad Freudenthal, and David Wirmer (Leiden: Brill, 2020). For a critical translation see "Violas De Rodez’ Astrological Prognostication for the Year 1355: Introduction, Text and Translation," Aleph 18, no. 1 (2018).

[23] R Burke, The Opus Majus of Francis Bacon (Philadelphia: University of Philadelphia Press, 1928). Vol. 1, 284-285.

[24] Margaret Aston, "The Fiery Trigon Conjunction: An Elizabethan Astrological Prediction," Isis 61, no. 2 (1970). The work is available online here.

[25] Ibid. As Margaret Aston has pointed out, William Shakespeare composed some lines that referenced the non-events of 1583 in his Henry IV part two (iv, 261-265.)

[26] From here.  There are hundreds of similar predictions available online.

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Shabbat 156 ~ Talmudic Astrology

Astrology is mentioned in many pages of the Talmud, but today we study one of the most important of them. The Talmud does not question whether astrology works, for it assumes that it does. Rather, the discussion centers around the details of producing an astrological map for a person, and how the Jewish People can avoid their astrologically determined fate.

The first topic is how the the alignment of the planets define a person’s fate. According to Rabbi Yehoshua ben Levi the planets influence the day of the week. So if you are born on Sunday, you will be a person of extremes:

שבת קנו, א

אִי כּוּלֵּיהּ לְטֵיבוּ, אִי כּוּלֵּיהּ לְבִישׁוּ. מַאי טַעְמָא? דְּאִיבְּרוֹ בֵּיהּ אוֹר וָחוֹשֶׁךְ

Rather, one born on a Sunday is either completely for the best or completely for the worst. What is the reason for this? It is because both light and darkness were created on the first day of Creation.

If you are born on a Monday, you will be “a short tempered person” because on that day the upper waters were divided from the lower; there was division, which translates into a person who “divides” with his temper. And so on. Now given that 1/7 of the world’s population will be born on any given day of the week, this is rather a generalization, but let’s leave that aside. This opinion is challenged by Rabbi Chaninah, who explains that it is rather more complicated:


שבת קנו, א

אֲמַר לְהוּ רַבִּי חֲנִינָא, פּוּקוּ אֱמַרוּ לֵיהּ לְבַר לֵיוַאי: לֹא מַזַּל יוֹם גּוֹרֵם אֶלָּא מַזַּל שָׁעָה גּוֹרֵם. הַאי מַאן דִּבְחַמָּה — יְהֵי גְּבַר זִיוְתָן, יְהֵי אָכֵיל מִדִּילֵיהּ וְשָׁתֵי מִדִּילֵיהּ, וְרָזוֹהִי גַּלְיִין, אִם גָּנֵיב — לָא מַצְלַח. הַאי מַאן דִּבְכוֹכָב נוֹגַהּ — יְהֵי גְּבַר עַתִּיר וְזַנַּאי יְהֵי. מַאי טַעְמָא? מִשּׁוּם דְּאִיתְיְלִיד בֵּיהּ נוּרָא. הַאי מַאן דִּבְכוֹכָב — יְהֵי גְּבַר נָהִיר וְחַכִּים, מִשּׁוּם דְּסָפְרָא דְחַמָּה הוּא. הַאי מַאן דְּבִלְבָנָה — יְהֵי גְּבַר סָבֵיל מַרְעִין, בָּנֵי וְסָתַר, סָתַר וּבָנֵי, אָכֵיל דְּלָא דִּילֵיהּ וְשָׁתֵי דְּלָא דִּילֵיהּ וְרָזוֹהִי כַּסְיִין אִם גָּנֵב — מַצְלַח. הַאי מַאן דִּבְשַׁבְּתַאי — יְהֵי גְּבַר מַחְשְׁבָתֵיהּ בָּטְלִין. וְאִית דְּאָמְרִי: כל דִּמְחַשְּׁבִין עֲלֵיהּ בָּטְלִין. הַאי מַאן דִּבְצֶדֶק — יְהֵי גְּבַר צִדְקָן. אָמַר רַב נַחְמָן בַּר יִצְחָק: וְצַדְקָן בְּמִצְוֹת. הַאי מַאן דִּבְמַאְדִּים — יְהֵי גְּבַר אָשֵׁיד דְּמָא. אָמַר רַב אָשֵׁי: אִי אוּמָּנָא, אִי גַּנָּבָא, אִי טַבָּחָא, אִי מָהוֹלָא. אָמַר רַבָּה: אֲנָא בְּמַאְדִּים הֲוַאי. אָמַר אַבָּיֵי: מָר נָמֵי עָנֵישׁ וְקָטֵיל

Rabbi Chanina said to his students who heard all this: Go and tell the son of Leiva’i, Rabbi Yehoshua ben Levi: It is not the constellation of the day of the week that determines a person’s nature; rather, it is the constellation of the hour that determines his nature. 
One who was born under the influence of the Sun will be a radiant person; he will eat from his own resources and drink from his own resources, and his secrets will be exposed. If he steals he will not succeed, because he will be like the sun that shines and is revealed to all. 
One who was born under the influence of Venus will be a rich and promiscuous person. What is the reason for this? Because fire was born during the hour of Venus, he will be subject the fire of the evil inclination, which burns perpetually. 
One who was born under the influence of Mercury will be an enlightened and expert man, because Mercury is the sun’s scribe, as it is closest to the sun. 
One who was born under the influence of the Moon will be a man who suffers pains, who builds and destroys, and destroys and builds. He will be a man who eats not from his own resources and drinks not from his own resources, and whose secrets are hidden. If he steals he will succeed, as he is like the moon that constantly changes form, whose light is not its own, and who is at times exposed and at times hidden. 
One who was born under the influence of Saturn will be a man whose thoughts are for naught. And some say that everything that others think about him and plan to do to him is for naught. 
One who was born under the influence of Jupiter [tzedek] will be a just person [tzadkan]. … 
One who was born under the influence of Mars will be one who spills blood. Rav Ashi said: He will be either a blood letter, or a thief, or a slaughterer of animals, or a circumciser. Rabba said: I was born under the influence of Mars and I do not perform any of those activities. Abaye said: My Master also punishes and kills as a judge.

The dispute is whether the planets influence everyone born on a specific day of the week, regardless of the time of their birth, or whether the influence of all the planets is felt daily, with each celestial body influencing successive hours. Or as Rabbi Chaninah puts it on today’s page of Talmud: לֹא מַזַּל יוֹם גּוֹרֵם אֶלָּא מַזַּל שָׁעָה גּוֹרֵם - it is not the celestial sign of the day that influences the nature of a person, but the celestial sign of the hour of birth that influences their nature.

horoscope_2.jpg

“There is no constellation that rules over Israel”

So in the Talmud, everyone agreed that astrology was a real phenomenon. They just differed in some of its details. Later we read of another dispute, this one between Rabbi Chananiah and Rabbi Yochanan. The former believed מַזָּל מַחְכִּים, מַזָּל מַעֲשִׁיר, וְיֵשׁ מַזָּל לְיִשְׂרָאֵל- “A constellation makes one wise and a constellation makes one wealthy, and there is a constellation for the Jewish people that influences them.” But Rabbi Yochanan believed אֵין מַזָּל לְיִשְׂרָאֵל- “there is no constellation that rules over the Jewish People.” Now at face value Rabbi Yochanan meant precisely what he stated - that the Jewish People is somehow immune to the usual influences of the stars and planets. Except his words were never understood in that way. For example the great medieval commentator Rashi explained that through prayer and charity, Israel could change its destiny, a destiny that would otherwise have been predicted by astrology.

This is also how another great medieval exegete, Ibn Ezra (d. 1164) explained how Israel was not subject to astrological determinism.

אבן עזרא שמות פרק לג פסוק כא 

ואתן לך משל חשוב, שהיתה מערכת הכוכבים שיגדל נהר על עיר אחת וישטוף אנשים או ימותו. ובא נביא והזהירם, שישובו אל השם בטרם בא יום רעתם. ושבו אליו בכל לבם. ובעבור שדבקו בו, נתן בלבם, שיצאו אנשי העיר לחוץ להתפלל אל השם. והנה עשו כן. וביום ההוא גדל הנהר פתאום כמנהגו, כאשר ראינו בעינינו פעמים רבות ושטף כל העיר. והנה לא סרה גזירת השם והוא הצילם, 

I will explain this with an important analogy. Perhaps the alignment of the stars caused a river to overflow and flood a town, sweeping away its inhabitants or drowning them. Now if a prophet came and warned them of the impending danger, and told them to repent before God lest this terrible event would occur, and they truly repented, this would not happen…for on that predicted day of the flood, God would cause all of the inhabitants to flee the city to pray to him. And when the river suddenly burst its banks, God would have saved them…

That’s the meaning of “there is no constellation the rules over Israel.” Your destiny is always written in the stars, but you can, if you try hard enough, manage to change it. So really even the Jewish People are subject to the rules of astrological prediction, but they have, as it were, an escape clause.

...together with its rational appearance, astrology has the immense advantage to proposes a global, holistic approach for apprehending the world, via a link between humans and the cosmos.
— Phillipe Zirka. Astronomy and Astrology. The Role of Astronomy in Society and Culture Proceedings IAU Symposium No. 260, 2009. International Astronomical Union 2011 D. Valls-Gabaud & A. Boksenberg, eds.

How Talmudic Astrology worked

For many centuries there were thought to be only seven celestial bodies that determined a person’s future. They are the Sun, the Moon, Mercury, Venus, Mars, Jupiter and Saturn (though not in that order). The order of these bodies was based on how quickly they appear to move across the sky, with Saturn moving the slowest, and the Moon the quickest. So the order would be

Saturn-> Jupiter ->Mars-> Sun->Venus->Mercury-> Moon->Saturn…etc

This sequence is also the furthest from the Earth (Saturn) to the nearest (Moon) in the Ptolemaic system, in which the earth is at the unmoving center of the universe. This pattern was common to most of those who practiced astrology, and is by no means a uniquely Jewish creation.


Each of these celestial bodies rules over one day, or according to Rabbi Chaninah, one hour of each day starting with sunrise. So at sunrise on Day One (which we happen to call SUNday) the Sun is dominant. In hour two it is Venus, hour three, Mercury, and so on until all the hours of the week are filled. Here is how Rabbi Chaninah’s system works, shown for the first three of the seven days of the week:

 
The Controlling Mazzalot and The Hours of the Week*
Night of Sunday Day of Sunday
Hour Mazzal Hour Mazzal
1 (Sunset) Mercury 1 (Sunrise) Sun
2 Moon 2 Venus
3 Saturn 3 Mercury
4 Jupiter 4 Moon
5 Mars 5 Saturn
6 Sun 6 Jupiter
7 Venus 7 Mars
8 Mercury 8 Sun
9 Moon 9 Venus
10 Saturn 10 Mercury
11 Jupiter 11 Moon
12 Mars 12 Saturn
Night of Monday Day of Monday
Hour Mazzal Hour Mazzal
1 (Sunset) Jupiter 1 (Sunrise) Moon
2 Mars 2 Saturn
3 Sun 3 Jupiter
4 Venus 4 Mars
5 Mercury 5 Sun
6 Moon 6 Venus
7 Saturn 7 Mercury
8 Jupiter 8 Moon
9 Mars 9 Saturn
10 Sun 10 Jupiter
11 Venus 11 Mars
12 Mercury 12 Sun
Night of Tuesday Day of Tuesday
Hour Mazzal Hour Mazzal
1 (Sunset) Venus 1 (Sunrise) Mars
2 Mercury 2 Sun
3 Moon 3 Venus
4 Saturn 4 Mercury
5 Jupiter 5 Moon
6 Mars 6 Saturn
7 Sun 7 Jupiter
8 Venus 8 Mars
9 Mercury 9 Sun
10 Moon 10 Venus
11 Saturn 11 Mercury
12 Jupiter 12 Moon
Etc
*Based on Judah Landa, Torah & Science, Ktav 1991

Why is bloodletting prohibited on a Tuesday?

This chart had very practical ramifications. Earlier in this tractate Shabbat, in a long passage about how and when to perform the medical intervention called bloodletting, we read the following:

שבת קכט,ב

אָמַר שְׁמוּאֵל: פּוּרְסָא דִדְמָא — חַד בְּשַׁבְּתָא, אַרְבָּעָה, וּמַעֲלֵי שַׁבְּתָא, אֲבָל שֵׁנִי וַחֲמִישִׁי — לָא

בִּתְלָתָא בְּשַׁבְּתָא מַאי טַעְמָא לָא? מִשּׁוּם דְּקָיְימָא לֵיהּ מַאְדִּים בְּזָוֵוי

Shmuel said: Bloodletting should be performed on a Sunday, Wednesday and Friday, but not on a Monday or Thursday. And why may bloodletting not be performed on a Tuesday? Because we know that Mars is dominant during the even hours.

A quick glance at the table above will reveal that on Tuesday (the third day of the Jewish week) sunrise (or hour one) is under the influence of Mars, and so is the eighth hour of the day. As Rashi explains, this is particularly dangerous,

שמזל מאדים משמש בו בשעות זוגות ומזל מאדים ממונה על החרב ועל הדבר ועל הפורעניות והזוגות קשין שהן רשות לשדים  

For Mars is dominant during an even hour, and Mars has control over the sword, over pestilence, and over punishment, and during an even hour there is an increased danger, because this is when demons are given permission to destroy…

It seems that Tuesday is a very bad day to let blood, since Mars, the “destroyer” has influence in the eighth hour, and 2x2x2=8, so there are a lot of dangerous even hours (or something like that). As a result, best not to undergo the procedure.

But does Astrology work?

No. There a a myriad of reasons why not. Here is just one: why should randomly picked patterns of stars, light years from one another should influence anything here on Earth? The constellations are, after all, a human construct. It is as if an actor on stage picked out a man in the second row, a woman in the mezzanine, and another woman at the front of the balcony, and saw in their pattern a triangle. That is what happens when when we “see” constellations. Here is a second problem: How can object so far from Earth could influence our lives, for their gravitational effects are far weaker than those of the table lamp sitting next to you on your desk. Are we now going to suggest other kinds of yet to be discovered material waves that “influence” us? A third: why do astrologers not take into account the constellations in the southern hemisphere? Surely they too must have an important effect, but they are not part of the Talmudic system, nor of many modern astrology charts. Just because the people who developed the whole notion of astrology were not aware of them, surely does not negate the influence they must exert on out futures?

More importantly than a lack of a mechanism is the simple fact that in study after study, astrologers have not been able to predict anything that would not have ben expected by chance. My favorite example of this is the 1985 study by Shawn Carlson, published in the prestigious journal Nature. It is important because it was designed with input from both scientists and astrologers.The thesis was that

the positions of all the planets (all planets, the Sun and the Moon plus other objects defined by astrologers) at the moment of birth can be used to determine the subject’s general personality traits and tendencies in temperament and behavior, and to indicate the major issues which the subject is likely encounter

and it sounds very much like the astrological beliefs found in today’s page of Talmud.

So a group of volunteers told astrologers the details of their birth, and from these a “natal chart” (or horoscope) was drawn up. There could be no identifying clues in the chart. Each volunteer was then given three natal charts; her own and two others, and asked to pick out the one that best described themselves. There were 83 volunteers, whose natal charts were drawn up over a ten week period. If the astrologers could accurately predict a person’s future, that chart should stand out and be correctly chosen by the person to whom it belonged. If it could not, then the correct chart would only be chosen 1/3 of the time. And guess what, it was indeed chosen….only 1/3 of the time. (There are many more details about the study including other tests that were performed, and how the statistical analysis was performed.)

Of course there are critics of this experiment, and those in one camp will generally not be swayed by the other. One may object to astrology because it is not “scientific”, but there are lots of things that are true and are not scientific; like love, or longing. And as anyone who has recently perused a bookshop in Israel can testify, the whole astrology thing has had a renaissance there.

Maimonides’ opposition to Astrology

But don’t just take my criticisms of astrology. None other than Maimonides himself was absolutely opposed to its practice in any way, as he outlined in his Mishnah Torah. In addition, in his famous Letter to the Jews of Marseilles of 1194 he went further, and denounced astrology as “an irrational illusion of fools and a baseless deception that was subversive to the faith and teachings of Judaism.” Here are a few choice excerpts:

no man should believe anything unless attested by one of three principles. First, rational proof as in mathematical sciences; secondly, the perception by one of the five senses… and third, tradition derived from the prophets and the righteous…

Some misguided people wrote thousands of books on the subject and many ignorant people wasted their precious years pouring over them, mistaking vanity for knowledge and ascribing consummate wisdom to their authors. There seems to be a fatal disease and abysmal mischief among most people, with the exception of a select divinely inpired remnant, to the effect that whatever is found in books is instantly acceptable as truth, especially if the books are ancient…Know my masters that I investigated these matters extensively… There was not a single book translated into Arabic on the subject that I have not studied and investigated in depth…

all the assumptions of the astrologers with regard to the forecasting of impeding events, or the determination of one's destiny by the constellation at the time of one’s birth are irrational superstitions devoid of any scientific basis…. 

For if man's life is predestined by an external force that coercively casts him into a frozen mould or impels him to act in a certain way without his own choice, then of what value are the precepts and the teachings of the Torah? It would appear thus that their views are not only invalidated by scientific thought… but in their folly the astrologers tend to reject the Mosaic Law.

Maimonides ends his letter with a powerful call to rationalism and a rejection of all superstitions, including astrology.

I am aware that it is possible to find some individual opinions of our sages in the Talmud, the Mishnah and Midrashim supporting astrological assumptions about the potency of the stars… This should not be disturbing to you inasmuch as we must never abandon practical Halakhah for the sake of upholding dialectical arguments. Moreover, it is not feasible to surrender demonstrative rational knowledge and embrace the opinion of one individual sage who might have missed a crucial point at that time or he may have proffered an allegorical remark not to be taken literally or that his statement was meant as a temporary measure referring to a specific incident. For is it not apparent that many statements of the Torah cannot be taken literally but, as is clear from scientific evidence, require interpretation that will make them acceptable to rational thought.

The attraction and repulsion of astrology

In fact, there has always been a tension between a belief in a pre-determined destiny written in the heavens, and the utter disdain for such a practice. Here, for example is how Samuel (d. 254 CE), who was famous as both an astronomer and physician, thought about it:

דברים רבא 8:6

 מַהוּ לֹא בַשָּׁמַיִם הִוא. שְׁמוּאֵל אָמַר אֵין הַתּוֹרָה מְצוּיָה בְּאִיסְטְרוֹלוֹגִין שֶׁאֻמְנוּתָן בַּשָּׁמָיִם

What is the meaning of the words “it is not in the heavens” (Deut 30:12)? Samuel explained, the Torah is above the work of astrologers who study the heavens…

Although he taught that the Torah (and presumably those who observe it) were beyond the influence of the stars, Samuel never believed that astrology was a foolish undertaking. The passage continues:

אָמְרוּ לִשְׁמוּאֵל הֲרֵי אַתָּה אִיסְטְרוֹלוֹגִין וְגָדוֹל בַּתּוֹרָה, אָמַר לָהֶן לֹא הָיִיתִי מַבִּיט בְּאִיסְטְרוֹלוֹגִים אֶלָּא בְּשָׁעָה שֶׁהָיִיתִי פָּנוּי מִן הַתּוֹרָה, אֵימָתַי כְּשֶׁהָיִיתִי נִכְנָס לְבֵית הַמָּיִם

They said to Shmuel, but aren't you an astrologer and also great in Torah? He said to them, I only look at the astrological signs when I am free from the Torah. When is that? When I enter the bathhouse

Samuel never dismissed astrology, but he only turned to it when he was free from the study of Torah. Today, about a third of Americans believe in astrology. Once, one-hundred percent of all people did. So perhaps we are slowly heading in the right direction.

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